Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.037573 0.041082 0.044778 0.048962 0.053571 0.058496 0.064162
2026-02-08 0.030377 0.035271 0.040765 0.047402 0.055219 0.064153 0.075166
2026-02-15 0.025341 0.030935 0.037559 0.046012 0.056552 0.069315 0.086020
2026-02-22 0.022407 0.028551 0.036169 0.046362 0.059721 0.076739 0.100230
2026-03-01 0.019406 0.025641 0.033682 0.044885 0.060212 0.080615 0.110118
2026-03-08 0.016588 0.022611 0.030644 0.042237 0.058699 0.081476 0.115786
2026-03-15 0.014820 0.020785 0.028989 0.041218 0.059194 0.084971 0.125318
2026-03-22 0.013860 0.019968 0.028616 0.041909 0.062104 0.092074 0.140750
2026-03-29 0.013036 0.019251 0.028292 0.042593 0.064994 0.099329 0.157069
2026-04-05 0.012023 0.018156 0.027297 0.042133 0.066032 0.103755 0.169254
2026-04-12 0.011143 0.017181 0.026387 0.041696 0.067015 0.108108 0.181660
2026-04-19 0.010280 0.016159 0.025313 0.040884 0.067277 0.111244 0.192223
2026-04-26 0.009346 0.014968 0.023906 0.039448 0.066438 0.112572 0.199984
2026-05-03 0.008569 0.013978 0.022750 0.038340 0.066065 0.114673 0.209399
2026-05-10 0.007882 0.013084 0.021685 0.037292 0.065691 0.116716 0.218900
2026-05-17 0.007503 0.012682 0.021413 0.037599 0.067755 0.123333 0.237836
2026-05-24 0.006913 0.011869 0.020371 0.036432 0.066988 0.124585 0.246279
2026-05-31 0.006228 0.010842 0.018880 0.034322 0.064249 0.121808 0.246200
2026-06-07 0.005801 0.010247 0.018119 0.033509 0.063931 0.123701 0.256016
2026-06-14 0.005606 0.010059 0.018080 0.034063 0.066334 0.131215 0.278650
2026-06-21 0.005423 0.009879 0.018041 0.034610 0.068761 0.138990 0.302723
2026-06-28 0.005134 0.009480 0.017562 0.034243 0.069272 0.142793 0.318245
2026-07-05 0.004869 0.009109 0.017110 0.033893 0.069784 0.146630 0.334254